Misc. Hinky Meter (by Valhall) Blog Entries

"Casey took the following eraser steps: she covered her tracks well, primarily by staying away from all people.... That the body was so close to the Anthony home can be explained by the effect Casey’s high level of psychopathy can have. While her Mach tendencies would have her diabolically address the issue that the body should be disposed far from home, her psychopathic tendencies would introduce “sloppy work” into th The psychopath Casey couldn’t be bothered with spending that much time to drive the body to a distant location. And then, lastly, while the imaginary “Zanny”, as far as Casey tells it, was no total stranger, she was a total stranger to everyone else in Caylee’s life. It is the classic SODDI (Some Other Dude Did It) presentation."

"Casey was attempting to “buy time” as her daughter’s body lay decaying, and she was successful in that effort. Her successful delay and diversion of the investigation led to the total skeletonization of Caylee’s remains and the elimination of almost all evidence of how Caylee was murdered. But in addition, we see that Casey ENJOYED the way she manipulated the investigation."

"The eraser killer will exhibit neither mourning nor real signs of emotional loss, and will almost always exhibit strangely inappropriate behavior and speech after the mysterious death of his [loved one]."

Valhall has done an amazing job on this series. Casey chillingly does represent the perfect "eraser killer" based upon Marilee Strong's criminal profile of one. Casey certainly took every step that an eraser killer would, exactly as described.

Yes, Valhall has done a good job explaining this all to us. Her compassion comes through in every post. Poor little Caylee.

I thoroughly enjoy reading anything Valhall puts together. She captures Merilee Strongs ideas and thoughts to a tee!!!!!

I cud see many ppl, who fit into the "soft kill" category, especially Drew Petersen...

We saw that KC also deleted over 200 pics of the 400 she had of Caylee, immediatley afterward as well, we saw her disorganization when she did her first written statement with LE on Jul 16, 2008 that she talked to ZFG after the abduction. She wrote that they ZFG called her on Thursday Jun 12, 2008. She had already said in her first sentence, that Caylee had been missing since Jun 9....She was prolly well aware of the prob with the date, and was intentionally making the investigation as difficult as possible where she planned to esplain how she was mislead with the date by her mother...

The video of KC, walking thru the sherrifs office in cuffs with her stolen blue hoodie say everything. Her eyes told of her callous cold murdering ability while her arrogant smirk told me that she was ready to put up her dukes and continue in her plan to get away with murder...She still carries that same look, and prolly will, as she is hauled off after her sentencing.

aj... i think she would carry that look all the way to the bed for her lethal injection!!

i interpret "the look" as her smirk... her last hahahaha .. i know something you dont... and she is right, she knows what happened in the last few minutes of caylee's life, and we will NEVER really know the truth.. i think she gets some sort of sick pleasure in everyone trying to figure out "her" little secret... it makes her the subject of it all.... she is just happy that it is all about her again.. the way it was before that "little snothead" ruined everything..

Although i agree that KC has that haughty attitude, WHEN she is convicted, I believe it will devastate her because it will then be REAL that her 'bella vita" is over.... for good.....

And that's all she's ever cared about.

MOO.

Casey’s Profile – Part 6: Her Motive

Posted on January 14th, 2010 by by Valhall

As I stated in the introduction of this series, I believe Casey’s motive is shown in her profile as an eraser killer. While there may very well have been a triggering event (i.e. fight with Cindy, ultimatum from parents, etc.), that triggering event, if one occurred, only set the date of Caylee’s erasure, not the inevitability. From Marilee Strong’s book, Erased:

Fundamentally, eraser killers do not kill for the reasons normally ascribed to murderers, such as greed, sex, or jealousy. They eliminate the women, and sometimes children, in their lives because their victims no longer serve any “purpose” in the emotionally desolate world of the eraser killer, or are seen as impediments to the kind of life they covet and fantasize for themselves. In the mind of this type of murderer, it is better, easier, and more satisfying for him to kill than simply to get a divorce.

There has been much talk about an alleged event that was reported early on to have taken place on June 15th, 2008, but has never been confirmed. That was the day Cindy and Caylee went to Mt. Dora and visited Cindy’s mother and then her father in the nursing home. Mark Fuhrman was the the first to state Cindy and George told him of a “big fight” on the night of June 15th. Reference to this fight was made again in Richard Grund’s interview with OCSO when he stated Lee Anthony had told Jesse Grund of the fight. Jesse would later confirm this in his September 9, 2008 interview with OCSO when he stated Lee had told him of a “heated argument” in which Cindy tried to choke Casey.

Cindy, George and Lee all now deny that any such argument took place that night, but I believe the truth will come out if Cindy did, in fact, confess this to Mark Fuhrman. Assuming this argument did occur, it results in a couple of theoretical scenarios that would make sense as being the triggering event for an eraser killer to remove their victim:

* Scenario 1 – Cindy gave Casey an ultimatum that she must either immediately straighten up her life (which may have included telling her she had to financially contribute to the household – which she had never done), start staying home with Caylee in the evenings, etc. In this scenario we can see that an eraser killer would view Caylee and the mandates that came with her as an impediment to the lifestyle Casey wanted to pursue with Tony. There would be no sleeping over night after night with Tony, and the clubbing would grind to a near halt…not to mention the inconvenience of having to actually hold down a job.

Again, from Strong:

His goal is to erase his victim…to expunge her from the record of his life. If she is pregnant with a child he does not want – and an unwanted pregnancy is an alarmingly common motive for eraser killings – he is killing two birds with one stone, eliminating what he views as dead weight dragging him down. In his mind, he is not really murdering a human being; he is simply rearranging the world to better suit his needs, to remove a major annoyance or let him make a fresh start of things.

He is killing because the [victim] in question has become inconvenient.

Anyone who stood between Scott Peterson and the fantasy he held so dear, the narcissistic fix he desperately craved, was in mortal danger.

The emotional and economic demands of child rearing are especially disconcerting to Machiavellians, narcissists, and even lower-level psychopaths whose entire focus is on their own grossly inflated sense of self…children make it much more difficult to live out their fantasies.

Scott’s [Peterson] desire to get rid of his wife was not about replacing her with Amber or any particular woman. It was a more nebulous quest to make reality conform to his fantasies. His grandiose lies were projections of the life he wished he had, the person he wanted to be.

* Scenario 2 – Cindy had a reached the point where she actually followed the advice of the counselor she had previously been seeing and told Casey that if she didn’t straighten out her life she had to immediately leave the house – without Caylee. There may have also been the threat of taking legal action to obtain legal guardianship of Caylee based on showing Casey to be an unfit mother. In this case we see the high Narcissism and Mach levels play into the possible reaction by Casey. The “if I can’t have her, no one can have her” that can be seen in many cases of erased wives and girlfriends by the male eraser killers.

So why wouldn’t Casey just leave, run to Tony, and let her parents take over the raising of Caylee? Even Cindy has asked the question, rhetorically, of course, and trying (in an abysmal failure) to show that Casey didn’t need to kill Caylee, she could have just left her with Cindy. Strong addresses this:

Rather than going the route of divorce, however painful, the sociopathic part of him chooses a darker solution – which in his mind is low cost. Being a narcissist, he has a heightened sense of his own capability. He believes he can get away with it. He believes he can commit the perfect crime.

Narcissists crave the admiration of others. Murder is more palatable than divorce for men like Scott Peterson because simply leaving or divorcing a pregnant wife would tarnish the image they have crafted of themselves, however false…Fox believes that they may even look foward to playing the role of grieving widower and enjoying the attention and sympathy that would involve.

* Scenario 3 – either the same ultimatums laid out in scenario 2, or just flat a heated argument in which Cindy unloaded years of frustration on how Casey was not taking on responsibilities, etc. but ultimately the reaction by Casey would reduce “spite”. If Cindy had the audacity to treat the narcissistic Casey as anything other than special – entitled to her wants without question – Casey could have murdered Caylee simply to exact her anger on Cindy. In the words of Casey to Lee on the night of July 16th – “Well, maybe I’m a spiteful bitch.”

Read the rest at The Hinky Meter:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=1410

There ya go, Snaz. I hope you have access again by morning.

I always have read to her posts several times to take it all into thought.

Another great article!

I often think about that Sunday, and what exactly happened..

I am a believe that the murder was thought out for months and months before it happened... I too think Caylee's life ending was inevitable going bak to at least March 2008 with the computer searches... As this was before TL and KC met, I doubt his preferences really mattered at the root of KCs plans..

Also, because KC was doing Zenaida searches on Jun 12, 08 and had also told TL on Jun 12, 08 that he cud start coming to see her after Jun 14 and from then on made me wonder about what her real intentions where and that somethingf was going to down that weekend no matter what..

Also, there seemed to be lots going on in that house from the first week of Jun where CA took off the first week for what she said was supposed to be bonding time, where they hardly saw KC, and not even for CA's bday on Ju 5 did she make a call to her mom...

Then se heard CAs confusion as to whether or not she was going to go away with GA to the beach and she had been seeing that counsellor all around the same time..

I wudnt be surprised that there was a fight that night, however I get the feeling their fights were frequent and volatile and all about KCs lack of responsibility... I also dont know that CA had it in her mind to actually take Caylee (unless she absolutley had too) as I think that she wud have done it b4 then... She must have knwn that KC was lying about going to work and that she worked at all...she aleready had the experience of knowing that she had lied about the sports store, so why not universal.. there was no money and no repsonsibilty...

I am sad that we will never know what took place and led up to the inevitable, but i feel pretty confidant, that Caylee's life was not planned out to be long term by KC early on, and the time and the place was just going to be according to what was happening in KCs life at the time... It seems clear that she didnt think too far ahead for anything that mattered...

Understanding Accumulated Degree Days

Posted on January 19th, 2010 by Valhall

Questions have been asked about the different approaches used by Dr. Arpad Vass et al. at the Body Farm and Dr. Haskell in the Entomology report in calculating Accumulated Degree Days (ADD). Let us look at how ADD is calculated and why it would be calculated differently for these two applications.

Understanding the Origins of ADD

Calculating ADD actually originates from agricultural estimates of Growing Degree Days (GDD). It is manner in which one can ascertain how many growing days a particular location will have for a given crop. When calculating GDD for a given crop one must first establish the upper and lower threshold temperatures at which growing ceases for that crop. In other words, if your bean won’t grow below 10 degrees C and will stop growing over 40 degrees C, when you are calculating the available GDD for a given location by looking at historical daily temperatures, you must substract all time that falls below 10 degrees or above 40. This gives the actual GDD for that location. So let’s make this easier for ourselves and pretend we are in a region (such as Orlando, Florida) where the temperature never gets higher than the maximum growing temperature for our bean, but sometimes does fall below the lower temperature for bean growth. Let’s say that lower temperature is 10 degrees C.

Read the rest:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=1467

Casey’s Profile – Part 7: Her Resemblance

Posted on January 18th, 2010 by Valhall

In this article we will compare Casey’s behavior to that of male eraser killers to show that not only does her Dark Triad fit the mold, but her activities surrounding the murder of Caylee strike an eerie similarity to many of these previous killers.

Donald Moringiello, a retired aerospace engineer whose wife, Hattie “Fern” Bergeler, came up missing on the day the two of them had gone to visit his children claims he and his wife were traveling in separate cars and he lost track of his wife on the ride home. He did not report his wife missing for a month. In fact, he did not report her missing until her body was found floating in the bay near his home. After two trials he was convicted of second degree murder.

Christian Longo, who murdered his wife and two children, did not call police after murdering his family, but instead went for coffee and returned rented videos. As Marilee Strong states “the lives of his wife and children of no more consequence than returning a delinquent video.”

Like Moringiello, Casey did not report Caylee missing until after Cindy had done so in a 911 call; a month after her death. On the evening of Caylee’s murder Casey went to rent videos with Tony Lazzaro. Caylee’s life was less important than the next movie.

Read the rest:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=1443

Adipocere formation and the stain in the trunk

Posted on January 22nd, 2010 by Valhall

In a previous comment I made on the Community discussion on the formation of adipocere thread, I stated that I do not believe the scientific community has a firm handle on what environmental triggers will actually produce adipocere. I went further to state it almost appears that eventually it may be determined that the body of the decedant plays more into this phenomenon than the environment. I based this comment on the fact that when various research articles and books dealing with the topic of adipocere formation are taken into account, there are more exceptions to any given tentative “rule” on what is required for the production of adipocere than there are rules that seem to remain constant. If a theorized set of conditions are presented and the data set looks like birdshot on the side of a barn, odds are the rule hasn’t been perfected yet. To be clear on what I’m saying here, there is no question of the chemical reaction that must take place for adipocere to form. What is in question appears to be the required environment in order for adipocere to form.

In this article we will review research conducted by Zimmermann et al. of a 30 year old stain left behind by a corpse and see if there is some information that could help us understand the nature of the stain in Casey’s trunk, as well as where the adipocere on the napkins from the trash bag in her trunk originated, but also to show that it cannot be stated with certainty that the conditions were not conducive to Caylee’s body forming adipocere. Adipocere seems to almost have a will of its own (at least until a better understanding of the environmental requirements for its formation is obtained).

Read the rest:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=1491

Kronk, Damn it, Kronk!

Posted on January 23rd, 2010 by Valhall

The defense team has attempted to redirect all eyes back to Roy Kronk, Orlando water meter reader who ultimately found the dumped body of Caylee Marie Anthony. This move is most likely because their client is about to plead guilty on Monday to being a thief, and – well – that begs a diversion, now doesn’t it? They want to depose Roy’s ex-wife, Jill Kerley, in Maryville, Tennessee due to her health issues (Non-Hodgkin’s Lymphoma). Ms. Kerley should, in fact, be offered special exceptions due to her health problems, after all the disease has already cut short what looked to be a burgeoning career in crime with a rap sheet including theft, forgery and obtaining drugs by fraud. I think we can all agree her life has been adversely affected enough by this cancerous condition.

Jill Kerley will be testifying in this deposition that Roy Kronk bound her on at least two occasions with “heavy duty duct tape” – of which she is prepared to testify he was very proud. Now, let’s be clear that there will be no one else to substantiate this. This is just Jill stepping up before society, most likely trying to “do what’s right” in an effort to make amends to society for all the criminal crap she did in the past. In fact, it could very well be presented (oh wait, it already has been on the media circuit by Linda Kenny-Baden) as a death-bed attempt to “make right”.

So based on this one cancerous, bitter woman’s account of duct tape – Roy Kronk murdered Caylee. That’s what the defense team’s strategy reduces to. We’ve already looked at the lunacy in this strategy, both in a not so serious manner, as well as in a more serious manner. And we’ve seen that short of being able to establish a motive, any connection to Caylee or the Anthony family, or any access to Caylee affording an opportunity to commit the crime, the strategy is sheer genius (ouch! I bit my tongue).

Read the rest:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=1515

The First 3 Months (by Valhall)

Well, it’s been 3 months since my first blog entry and I just wanted to take a few minutes to say something…
THANK YOU!


Read the rest:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=1585

Flurries of Phone Calls

Posted on February 3rd, 2010 by Valhall

There has been ample discussion about the rapid-fire phone calls made by Casey to Cindy’s cell phone and the Anthony home on the afternoon/evening of June 16th, 2008 as well as on June 18th. Some believe that the first “flurry” attempts at trying to get Cindy on the phone may have been an indicator that an accident had happened that had harmed or killed Caylee. I do not believe this. I believe this was Casey attempting to hand Caylee off to Cindy so that Casey could spend her evening with Tony. And I believe this “flurry” immediately precedes the murder of Caylee.

The main reason I believe this is that this was not a-typical behavior of Casey. And not answering Casey’s phone calls was not a-typical behavior for Cindy either. This dysfunctional family appears to have used not answering the phone as a way to force Casey into the responsibilities of being home for Caylee, and I hope to prove this out by looking at the calling behavior of Casey in the weeks preceding the 16th – the day Caylee was murdered.

Stepping all the way back to June 1, 2008, we see that at 8:51 pm Casey is at Tony’s apartment. There is a call made from the Anthony home to her cell phone which she does not answer and lets go to voicemail. She immediately listens to the voicemail, which is most likely Cindy telling her she needs to come home and take care of Caylee. Casey does not react to this phone call for 26 minutes. She then begins to try to call the Anthony home and Cindy’s cell phone beginning at 9:17 pm in “rapid-fire” style. In a matter of 4 minutes she makes 7 calls to the home and Cindy’s cell phone. None of these calls are answered.

Read the rest:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=1636

i think this is a "bombshell"... i have never thought of these calls in this manner, and props to vanhall for putting it all together..

i was one of those on the bandwagon of KCs calls being due to an "accident" and she wanted her parents to alibi her (come home and verify the events before calling the police)... BUT.. now i look at it in an entirely different light. .. i see the pattern of the furious calls to CA--just in time for her to be getting off work.. it is a pattern, one that likely has repeated itself MANY times over. .
was CA tired of all the lies, was she convinced if she didnt return KCs calls that she would be forced to be a mom?

i think this not only explains what happened on june 16th, but also narrows down the time of little caylee's death. .. it also explains why CA is so involved in covering for KC, because it is ultimately (in her mind) her fault caylee died that day.. it is guilt--if she just would have answered her phone, or called KC back immediately, maybe the dead body in the damn car wouldnt have been her gradaughter after all...

thanks for the article snaz.. it really opened my eyes.

Randi, I never thought about the flurry of phone calls in this light either. But it certainly gives me food for thought.

There is so much to digest in this case. Just when I think I have it all figured out in my mind, another scenario comes to light based on evidence I hadn't even considered, and blows my theory.

I understand how you feel Snaz. This theory definitely seems plausible, but it throws a huge monkey wrench into some of the other theories that we have considered possible for a very long time. If she killed Caylee in a fit of rage because she had been fighting with Cindy and Cindy wouldn't watch her, it would seem to rule out premeditation as being the reason Casey made up the fictional Zanny the Nanny.

I have never thought the calls were made as a result of an accident... I did think they were made for whatever selferving pupose KC needed at the the time...

As usual Valhalls logic was easily put to paper and makes sense once again...

I was really intrigued by AZ Lawyers comment re: the computer forensics... This poster has commented that the forensics report that shows us KC's search history on the ZFG was prolly only done for the first time on Jul 16... I asked him in that forum to explain as what I understand from his post is that this particluar search wud automatically go to a file folder. This file folder has a create date as well, and these prior dates may have been the dates that the file folder was created.. Not the searches...

I had looked at these dates as premeditation evidence of her looking up a "name" to use prior to Caylees death.. It now looks like it may not be indicative of anything prior to Caylee's "disappearance"...

Likely, if this is the case, the defense cud easily explain that CA was investigating this ZFG on the computer the mornig after LE was called in...

I still whole heartedly believe that KC premeditated Caylee's murder...its maybe just one less nail..

The Jay Blanchard Park Scenario – Revisited

Posted on February 5th, 2010 by Valhall

I would like to resurrect this post. During our original discussion concerning this article, it was stated by several they believed the Jay Blanchard Park scenario may have been passed to Lee via Baez in a letter from Casey while she was in jail. I have concluded that is not the case (I can’t say it is impossible, but I think it highly unlikely). One of the points toward this scenario that Lee received the JBP scenario in a letter from Casey was based on a text he sent to Cindy referring to individual letters Baez had for each of the Anthonys from Casey. However, this text was on August 3, 2008, as seen below:



In Part 4 of the interview Cindy had on July 30, 2008 with the FBI, 4 days before Lee’s text about letters Baez had for them, Cindy first reveals the Jay Blanchard Park scenario beginning at timetag 17:45 in the video. And like the psychotic mother she is – the one who wants to make sure BOTH of her children are sitting in jail by the time this thing is over – she puts the entire origin of this story over on Lee; stating that Lee has all the details because “Casey told him”. But Casey didn’t tell Lee any of this, and as George revealed in his 2009 deposition (and detailed below), the Anthonys came up with this scenario while “brainstorming”.

Read the rest:
http://www.thehinkymeter.com/?p=701

I believe most of those searches were made by Casey. Hopefully the state proves it during the trial.